Quick #BTCUpdate

In 1h timeframe, Bitcoin is Consolidating in Bearish Pennant Formation.

If Pennant Broken Downside, Expecting Bearish Wave towards the $41800 📉

In Bullish Case, If Pennant Broken Upside, Bitcoin Might Retest the $48000...

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#BTCUPDATE - 9.Sept.21

ABOUT TO MOVE BIG

We are just coming to the end of a consolidation whilst arguably still under a key support although not enough to confirm the direction of the exit to this consolidation triangle.

It is impossible to say right now which way its going to go given the general disarray with BTC rn.

We have low liquidity zones above and below this point also so its either going to $49.5k or $43k.

Our play is if a drop below $45.5k then short to $43.2k and if it breaks above $47.3k then long to $48.3k with a stretch target of $49.5k.

Alts are looking pretty strong rn but wait for BTC to make its move.

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#BTCUPDATE - 19.9.21

SUNDAY VOLATILITY

Sunday always carries erratic movement and as a standard TA we are looking quite bullish although we have just seen a small break down of trend line on the 15m which could lead to quite a big breakdown to approx. $47k if it continues.

The bullish outcome is to break above $48.3k and then carry on in this ascending wedge which is pretty bearish at the peak although it should complete a harmonic pattern that will bounce after the collapse.

Personally we are not trading it today, Sundays are too volatile.

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#BTCUPDATE - 21.9.21

NEED TO BREAK RESISTANCE

Unfortunately the 2nd leg of the dump did come! Further big sell off's have potentially halted now with a pretty big buy sat at the $40k region (or just above). Indication that there are big whales in waiting there that as mentioned yesterday don't want to see this drop below the 200DEMA this close to October.

IT is key we break back above the the $43.5k and soon in order to return to this pattern, otherwise it will likely start to turn into a descending wedge and could eat into October with a bearish sentiment.

We feel the bottom has come in and as per yesterday $41k was tested. Targets are if we get above $43.5k to long to $45.5k if it starts to consolidate for too long on the $43.5k support then will be exiting in case of breakdown again.

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#BTCUPDATE - 25.9.2021

FALSE PUMP EXPECTED

Some positive news the current descending wedge we are in is much tighter than we first thought and we believe $37k would be the potential bottom, worst case scenario based on this analysis. We think we are in for a small bounce and a fake pump to about $43.5k before a bit of a nasty sunday dump to $40k region where there will be an inevitable bounce before a further sell off, although we are not so sure we will hold below $40k given how close we are to moving into October (again speculative but everyone has eyes on Oct to be the start of the end of year bull run).

Our play is to long to $43.5k and then get out. Might play the expected Bloody Sunday and short to $41k if it does pump a little.

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#BTCUPDATE - 28.9.2021

200DEMA IN PLAY

Very important point of interest on the 200DEMA.
Every single time we dropped below, we have come back up within 4-5 hours. Losing it will be EXTREMELY bearish. If we lose this then we are looking to test $40.5k or possible the $39k-$38k territory.

We have some potential FUD still coming this week from the US Government so we would be surprised if it holds although a bounce here could easily lead to a pretty big pump.

Any DCA based trades would start to be pretty safe as nearing the bottom and hopefully in the later part of this bearish cycle.

KEEP POSITIVE - BITCOIN NEVER GOES UP FOREVER AND EQUALLY NEVER GOES DOWN FOREVER SO HOLD ON, STAY STRONG AND 3 OUT OF THE LAST 4 SEPTEMBERS HAVE LED TO MASSIVE PUMPS 2 BEING ATH'S.

———
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#BTCUPDATE - 5.OCT.21

NOT FULLY CONVINCED

This set up to break $50k is not filling us up with too much confidence.

Whilst we are all looking at $50k as the key resistance it is actually $50.5k which is the key resistance here.

It looks like it is shaping up to the tip of an ascending wedge right now - unless we break $50.5k comfortably then we actually think we might see a pretty fast dump. We ideally need some positive news to come in.

Targets if we break $50.5k will be $53k region if we get rejected from $50.5k again then we think we can see continued movement down potentially as far as $46k - we really have to hope that some coordinated FUD doesn't drop at this critical stage

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#BTCUPDATE - 8.OCT.21

FURTHER UPWARDS MOVEMENT

We spent all of yesterday consolidating in a kind of bullflag/pennant with a strong breakout - we feel this will continue quite strongly towards $57.8k there is room to grow on the ALPHA RSI Cloud and also the Fear and Greed is still sitting at neutral.

We need to break through this local $57.2k resistance although we don't feel that will be much of an issue. We are very bullish on BTC.

The Alts are starting to wake up now too

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#BTCUPDATE - 18.OCT.21

INSITUTIONS DEFENDED THE $60K SUCCESSFULLY

It was interesting to see how aggressively the whales defended the $60k support. To us that is a big sign that it's only up from here.

We have a local resistance of $62.6k to $63k to break now then we feel there will be a pretty strong push to challenge the ATH. It is impossible to say what will happen here although given the market sentiment we don't think people will be selling.

When Gold Spot & Future ETF's launched Gold went 5x over 6 years - so BTC will likely result in something similar but probably much quicker. We are still lacking in confirmation of SPOT ETF for BTC atm, we will hopefully find out today or tomorrow - this is really the big one needed. IF you don't know the difference then we advise DYOR on these as they will make a huge impact on the future of BTC and Crypto.

As mentioned targets now we would conservatively go for the ATH, we believe there are going to be some aggressive rejections along the way.

#BTCUPDATE - 21.OCT.21

AWAITING NEXT ROUND OF ETF'S

After a very strong breakout we are coming back for a pullback/retest and could see the next stage which is either a bit of a ranging/consolidation or another heavy pump up. We feel we are going to see more of a ranging consolidation play between $64.85k and $67k until the next ETF goes live which is likely going to be ARK/VanEck/Valk - all big players.

We think the bullish momentum is going to continue and $70k and beyond is highly likely at this stage. It is finally looking like some money is starting to flow into ALT's too.

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#BTCUPDATE - 25.OCT.21

POTENTIAL HEAD AND SHOULDERS IN PLAY


If we see a rejection here then we could be on for a pretty aggressive head and shoulders down to the $55k region if it gathers enough momentum. Although even if it did we feel it would only be short lived and alot of whales are ready to buy this dip.

Breaking above the $63k resistance and holding we feel will see a very strong push up and rebreaking the ATH and likely $70k.

Unfortunately we feel we are going to see a little more downside in the short-term first before the next big monster push up.

We feel the proper alt season is still on ice for a little longer.

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#BTCUPDATE - 6.NOV.21

LAST CHANCE BEFORE BIG MOVE

We are at the tip of the spear now, not a huge amount has changed from the past 2 days we are still at the end of this triangular consolidation now. Expecting the big move over the next 24 hours. Going this deep into the weekend now my bullish sentiment is wavering a little bit now as Sundays are extremely unpredictable.

If we break up then it will be $64k onto $67k

If we break down and lose the 20DEMA support (really not great news) then likely the 50DEMA will be the next support which will end up being between $57k to $58k.

Ultimately we want to make it through the weekend above $60k would be the ideal scenario although right now it is looking like big push one way or the other.

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#BTCUPDATE - 9.NOV.21

SHORT BUT SWEET

We are currently in price discovery mode rn so it really is as unpredictable as it gets. We feel there is going to be a retest of the future pivot at around $67k and then either a bit of consolidation or a pretty huge bounce up to $70k plus.

We are pretty sure a lot of periphery retail traders are going to start fomo'ing pretty heavily. Losing $67k could I think continue down to the 62% Fib at $64.5k.

We are going to be seeing ALT's go pretty parabolic at some point but it is still the BTC show for now

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#BTCUPDATE - 15.NOV.21


So far so good with higher lows posting keeping us inside this large ascending wedge.

After a very strong start to the day momentum wavered and prices dipped blow $65k and headed towards the bottom trendline. This indicating a decline in buying trade volume. If we can see volume increase and a re-test of the upper trendline (likely creating another ATH) then we expect the pattern to play out.

Breaking down here (through the EMA20) to $63k would most likely lead to testing support at $62.2 followed by the EMA50

With its Taproot Upgrade going live yesterday there's still likely upside and whilst the ascending wedge pattern holding we're bullish however volatility short term is expected within the range illustrated.

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#BTCUPDATE - 5 DEC 21

WEDGE CONTINUATION, POSSIBLE SCENARIO

Its still early days so this is a very speculative path, although amazingly even after that crash we are not actually in that bad shape for a bullish continuation. Looking like a potential climb to $53k before next rejection here we are actually sitting on some support and also looking to reclaim both the 200 DEMA and the $50k support. Hanging around just under both of them will not end well so we want to be breaking back above in the next 24 to re instill a bit of confidence.

For now trade cautiously still but accumulating some of your preferred projects should be the main focus.

———
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#BTCUPDATE - 10 JANUARY


That was a sharp drop but buys came in from whales to hold that $40k support. We are currently within a downward channel although still playing out a long term head and shoulders pattern that could end up going down as far as $30k - We would be pretty surprised if we saw that low

There is an untested weekly pivot in play sat at the top of the channel and near a down ward trendline which are usually filled. although our feel for BTC is that we will continue in this downwards channel and then break down towards the $38k region.

Considering what happened today We think $37.5k will be the likely bottom.

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#BTCUPDATE 11.02.22

Technicals

Inverse head and shoulders in play on the daily.

We've been cautious all week with the weekly pivot and CME gap al indicating a retracement to $40k despite some very bullish fundamentals and high volatility.

Zooming out to the daily we can see the formation that plays out this scenario, an Inverse head and shoulders currently on the its last leg. Completing the second shoulders should fulfill our CME and wekkly pivot before bouncing from the support given by the volume point of control and trendline.

This could be extremely bullish if complete and sets us up for a test of $50k.

SIGNAL FOR ALL

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